Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

912 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Bank Of America Warns Of New Credit Risks With Gambling, Prediction Markets

Bank Of America Warns Of New Credit Risks With Gambling, Prediction Markets

The post Bank Of America Warns Of New Credit Risks With Gambling, Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Topline Booming prediction markets and sports gambling products are creating new credit risks for Americans, according to Bank of America, which warned about particularly high impacts on young men and low-income lenders. Prediction markets like Kalshi have exploded in popularity. Photo by Kayla Wolf for The Washington Post via Getty Images Key Facts A note from Bank of America Global Research identified, “easy access and gamified interfaces” as factors encouraging frequent and impulsive wagers, “which can lead to overextension of credit and rising loan defaults.” The note characterized the boom of prediction and betting markets as a “convergence of entertainment and speculative finance,” saying it indicates risks that could impact consumers’ credit qualities, raise delinquencies and affect earnings for issuers and subprime lenders. Credit scores fall by an average of 2.75 points when online and mobile phone sports gambling is available, according to Bank of America, which noted low-income consumers and young men are particularly susceptible to the gambling credit risks. Subprime borrowers have a higher potential for revolving debt spikes, accelerated defaults and higher charge-off rates, the note said. Young men, especially those in low-income areas, “could exhibit limited financial literacy and constrained liquidity making them highly susceptible to compulsive wagering and credit stress,” the note said, adding promotional incentives and social media marketing of gambling sites could increase participation and result in heightened credit balances. Get Forbes Breaking News Text Alerts: We’re launching text message alerts so you’ll always know the biggest stories shaping the day’s headlines. Text “Alerts” to (201) 335-0739 or sign up here. Big Number $99 billion. That is how much money worth of legal wagers were placed in the first eight months of this year, according to the American Gaming Association, a 12.4% increase year-over-year. Read More Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2025/11/25/sports-gambling-prediction-markets-could-lead-to-new-credit-risks-for-young-men-and-low-earners-bank-warns/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Bank of America warns that the popularity of prediction markets could lead to bad loans

Bank of America warns that the popularity of prediction markets could lead to bad loans

The post Bank of America warns that the popularity of prediction markets could lead to bad loans appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bank of America warned on the growth of retail prediction markets and sports results, warning that it could lead to consumer debt and bad loans. US-based customers have wider access to prediction platforms, due to legislation allowing platforms to be treated as trading services.  The expansion of prediction markets is creating credit risk, as the predictions can be just as risky as gambling. Platforms like Polymarket incur losses for 84% of users on average, with only a handful of whales making successful trading streaks.  Bank of America analysts warned some users could resort to predictions with consumer debt, as Bloomberg reported.  ‘Easy access and gamified interfaces encourage frequent and impulsive wagers,’ warned BofA analysts. US-based traders have wider access to prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, after the Supreme Court canceled the federal ban on sports gambling.  Kalshi and Polymarket offer a new form of betting, requiring upfront interaction with their pairs or contracts. The financial side of prediction markets may push some users to take up debt, in the hope of a rapid gain.  The risk is even higher for short-term contracts or contentious issues expected to be resolved within minutes or hours. Prediction markets converge investment with speculative gambling  Prediction markets, with their fast resolution and transparent liquidity, are becoming one of the preferred modes for engaging with crypto projects. Instead of waiting for some form of value, clients seek a mix of entertainment and speculative finance.  According to BofA, the usage of prediction platforms could create more bad credit. Prediction market usage is not banned by banks, and is not directly reflected in the credit score. However, regions with more lenient betting laws also have lower credit scores on average, with an increased likelihood of personal bankruptcy.  The rising popularity of Polymarket and Kalshi, along with marketing…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Homegrown NYC startup Polymarket allowed to resume US operations following CFTC reversal

Homegrown NYC startup Polymarket allowed to resume US operations following CFTC reversal

The CFTC issued an amended order allowing Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction-market platform, to resume operations in the U.S.

Author: The Block
Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market With New Partners

Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market With New Partners

The post Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market With New Partners appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Galaxy Digital begins market-making experiments with Polymarket and Kalshi prediction platforms targeting $9B industry. Firm joins elite group including Susquehanna and Jump Trading, providing institutional liquidity to event markets. Mike​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌ Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital is making tactical changes to the fast-growing prediction markets sector to grab a portion of the $9 billion industry opportunity. The firm, which is primarily into crypto investments, is in talks with the top platforms Polymarket and Kalshi for liquidity provision, thus signaling the arrival of a new trend of the Wall Street to event-based ​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌trading. Strategic Liquidity Expansion Plans Galaxy​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌ Digital started small-scale market-making trials on prediction market platforms and is willing to increase the volume of operations depending on the results of the tests. Continuous bid-ask spreads will be made available by the company, thus improving market depth and trading efficiency for users of both exchanges.  Novogratz also acknowledged the firm’s hesitating but daring strategy, expressing that they plan to provide wider liquidity services after the experiments show profitable results. Thus, Galaxy is now one of a few institutional players that are entering the space, along with Susquehanna International Group and Jump ​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌Trading. The​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌ timing coincides with Galaxy’s May 2024 Nasdaq listing under the ticker GLXY, which is a move that deepens its integration into the conventional U.S. capital markets. By executing this strategic move, the company is effectively combining its expertise in the crypto world with the day-to-day operations of the traditional financial industry, thus paving the way for services like cutting-edge market making.  Prediction markets enable their users to trade binary contracts that are dependent on the results of real-world events, thus establishing price discovery mechanisms for virtually any kind of event, be it elections or sports. Polymarket and Kalshi are the two major players in the field with a total lifetime trading…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market, Enters Liquidity Talks With Polymarket and Kalshi

Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market, Enters Liquidity Talks With Polymarket and Kalshi

The post Galaxy Digital Targets $9B Prediction Market, Enters Liquidity Talks With Polymarket and Kalshi appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Galaxy Digital has begun plans to tap into the $9 billion prediction market. The firm is now in talks with Polymarket and Kaishhi as it looks to build its investment reach. Galaxy Digital Eyes Prediction Market Liquidity Push According to Bloomberg, Mike Novogratz’s firm is in active discussions with Polymarket and Kalshi about providing liquidity to their respective prediction markets. Novogratz revealed that the company has already started small-scale testing. They also expect to scale up if early results show strong traction. “We’re doing some small-scale experimenting with market-making on prediction markets, but I think you’ll eventually see us providing broader liquidity,” he said. By acting as a liquidity provider, the firm would place steady bids and offers. This would narrow spreads and improve overall market depth on both platforms. The move comes as the company increases visibility in public markets. Last May, Galaxy Digital completed its listing on Nasdaq under the ticker GLXY. This is particularly key given the expansion of the firm throughout the U.S. capital markets. Only a few Wall Street firms have publicly ventured into prediction markets. Susquehanna International Group has been one of a limited number of institutional liquidity providers on Kalshi. Also, Jump Trading has recently started trading more quietly on the platform. Growing Momentum in Prediction Markets Prediction markets lets traders to buy and sell binary contracts that are tagged to specific outcomes. Polymarket and Kalshi are the main market makers with a combined $42.4 billion in lifetime volume. Initially, Polymarket was top of the due to the coverage of political-event speculation. Since September, though, Kalshi has taken the lead in monthly trading activity. These platforms have recently attracted several high-profile partners. This includes Galaxy Digital, Google Finance, and even the National Hockey League. Both exchanges also run incentive programs aimed at attracting…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Galaxy Digital’s Bold Step Towards Prediction Markets

Galaxy Digital’s Bold Step Towards Prediction Markets

The post Galaxy Digital’s Bold Step Towards Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Galaxy Digital, under the leadership of Mike Novogratz, is venturing into the promising arena of digital prediction markets. In a discussion with Bloomberg, Novogratz shared the company’s initial forays through experimental engagement in market making via the Polymarket and Kalshi platforms. Continue Reading:Galaxy Digital’s Bold Step Towards Prediction Markets Source: https://en.bitcoinhaber.net/galaxy-digitals-bold-step-towards-prediction-markets

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Galaxy Digital is talking with Kalshi and Polymarket about becoming a liquidity provider

Galaxy Digital is talking with Kalshi and Polymarket about becoming a liquidity provider

The post Galaxy Digital is talking with Kalshi and Polymarket about becoming a liquidity provider appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. According to Bloomberg, Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital is preparing to become a liquidity provider for Kalshi and Polymarket, two of the biggest names in the fast-expanding world of crypto-based prediction markets. These platforms let people place simple bets on real-world outcomes; like election results, sports scores, or even policy decisions. Now, Galaxy Digital is looking to plug directly into those bets by offering constant trade activity that keeps the wheels turning. Mike said the company is already “doing some small-scale experimenting with market-making on prediction markets,” and added that “you’ll eventually see us providing broader liquidity.” This would make Galaxy Digital a key player in a market that’s already seeing tons of involvement from retail traders and financial firms alike. And while Mike has spent years building Galaxy as a crypto infrastructure backbone for institutions, prediction markets open a new front in that strategy, one that’s raw, fast, and not yet fully regulated. Kalshi and Polymarket compete for bigger trade flows Unlike traditional sportsbooks, where the house always takes the opposite side, platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket match people directly. If you want to buy “yes” on a bet, someone else needs to sell you a “no.” This system needs liquidity providers to keep trades flowing, especially when demand surges. That’s why Kalshi and Polymarket rolled out incentive programs to reward active traders in specific markets. For years, these platforms were too small to attract serious Wall Street players. The only big name who jumped in early was Susquehanna International Group, which has publicly acknowledged its role on Kalshi. But the tides are turning. Jump Trading has begun market-making activity on Kalshi, according to Bloomberg, and Cliff Asness, co-founder of AQR Capital Management, said he’s thinking about moving into the sports betting arena. Kalshi also uses its own in-house desk…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Crypto News Today [Live] Updates On November 25, 2025: Bitcoin Holds Above $87K, Ethereum & XRP Prices, Bitwise XRP ETF Updates

Crypto News Today [Live] Updates On November 25, 2025: Bitcoin Holds Above $87K, Ethereum & XRP Prices, Bitwise XRP ETF Updates

The post Crypto News Today [Live] Updates On November 25, 2025: Bitcoin Holds Above $87K, Ethereum & XRP Prices, Bitwise XRP ETF Updates appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The post Crypto News Today [Live] Updates On November 25, 2025: Bitcoin Holds Above $87K, Ethereum & XRP Prices, Bitwise XRP ETF Updates appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News November 25, 2025 05:42:56 UTC Airdrop Wallet Dumps 5.5M MON Below Public Sale Price Airdrop wallet 0x676a, which received 5.61 million MON worth about $184,000, panic-dumped 5.5 million MON for $131,000 USDC at $0.0239 after MON dropped below its public sale price of $0.025. The move highlights rising fear among early holders as volatility spikes around the token’s launch. Airdrop wallet 0x676a, which received 5.61M $MON ($184K), panic-dumped 5.5M $MON for 131K $USDC at $0.0239 after $MON fell below its public sale price of $0.025.https://t.co/scEg2AaqXu pic.twitter.com/sieLHnXDfF — Lookonchain (@lookonchain) November 25, 2025 November 25, 2025 05:41:03 UTC Whale Opens $5.6M MON Long, Sitting on $654K Unrealized Profit Whale 0xccB5 has opened a 3× long position on 171.68 million MON worth about $5.6 million—over the past 12 hours. The trade is currently showing $654,000 in unrealized gains. The position’s liquidation price stands at $0.02298, making it a high-risk, high-reward play as MON volatility increases. Whale 0xccB5 has opened a 3× long on 171.68M $MON($5.6M) over the past 12 hours, now sitting on $654K in unrealized gains. Liquidation price: $0.02298https://t.co/ZQr7UsmFr6 pic.twitter.com/t18Gw9R5vs — Lookonchain (@lookonchain) November 25, 2025 November 25, 2025 05:39:25 UTC World Liberty Financial Moves 40.69M TRX to HTX, Sitting on 12% Profit World Liberty Financial has deposited 40.69 million TRX (worth about $11.23 million) into HTX over the past 11 hours. The firm originally acquired the tokens for $10 million between January 20–23. If sold now, they would lock in an estimated $1.23 million profit, a 12.3% gain in just 10 months. World Liberty Financial (@worldlibertyfi) deposited all 40.69M $TRX (~$11.23M) into #HTX in the last 11 hours! They acquired these…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Crypto News Today [Live] Updates On November 25,2025

Crypto News Today [Live] Updates On November 25,2025

The post Crypto News Today [Live] Updates On November 25,2025 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The post Crypto News Today [Live] Updates On November 25,2025 appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News November 25, 2025 05:19:49 UTC Bitcoin Crash Mirrors COVID-Era Dip, Says Van de Poppe: Recovery Signal Ahead? According to analyst Van de Poppe, the recent crypto market crash closely resembles Bitcoin’s COVID-era plunge. Despite the heavy drop, he notes that traders back then also expected new lows—but those never came. As prices recovered, FOMO returned, pushing more buyers back in while bears rushed to re-enter. He says the same pattern may be forming now: the higher Bitcoin climbs over the next 1–2 weeks, the smaller the chance of revisiting the recent lows. November 25, 2025 05:19:49 UTC Galaxy Digital Explores Liquidity Deals With Polymarket and Kalshi Bloomberg reports that Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz says the firm is in active talks with Polymarket and Kalshi to provide liquidity for their prediction markets. Galaxy has already begun small-scale market-making tests and plans to expand its involvement. Meanwhile, Jump Trading has also quietly started making markets on Kalshi, signaling rising institutional interest in the prediction-market sector. November 25, 2025 05:19:49 UTC Bitcoin Reclaims $88.8K, But Altcoins Like XRP and ETH Steal the Spotlight Bitcoin has climbed back to $88.8K today, but the real momentum is coming from altcoins. XRP is up 7%, while SUI (+11%), PEPE (+8%), NEAR (+7%), TEL (+6%), and ETH (+11%) are all bouncing back after last week’s heavy FUD pushed many traders out of the market. With confidence slowly returning, these alts are showing early signs of a stronger recovery phase. Source: https://coinpedia.org/news/crypto-news-today-live-updates-on-november-252025/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Galaxy Digital eyes Polymarket, Kalshi market making

Galaxy Digital eyes Polymarket, Kalshi market making

The post Galaxy Digital eyes Polymarket, Kalshi market making appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction-market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi are in discussions with Galaxy Digital as institutional interest begins shifting toward event-driven trading. Summary Galaxy Digital is in talks to act as a market maker on Polymarket and Kalshi as institutional firms examine the growing event-trading sector. Prediction-market volume and valuations have surged, supported by Google Search integration, new funding rounds, and major trading firms joining. Regulatory steps, including Polymarket’s QCEX acquisition and Kalshi’s CFTC approvals, have opened the door to broader U.S. participation. Galaxy Digital is in discussions to provide liquidity on Polymarket and Kalshi as prediction markets draw new attention from major trading firms. According to a Nov. 24 Bloomberg report, the firm has held talks with both exchanges about supplying regular two-way quotes that help improve trading depth. Galaxy’s move into prediction markets Galaxy Digital, long focused on institutional crypto services, is exploring a market-making role that would place it alongside a small group of Wall Street-linked players entering the event-trading space. Galaxy Digital chief executive officer Mike Novogratz said the company aims to act as a consistent counterparty on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, which operate peer-to-peer markets rather than sportsbook-style setups. Prediction markets have surged this year as users trade binary contracts tied to politics, sports, economic data, and cultural outcomes. Platforms rely heavily on liquidity providers to keep spreads tight, as every “yes” purchase requires someone else to take the “no” side. Historically, these markets were too small to attract large trading firms. Susquehanna International Group was one of the few to publicly confirm activity on Kalshi. But that is changing. Jump Trading recently started market making on Kalshi, and AQR’s Cliff Asness said the firm is reviewing a sports-betting expansion. Kalshi also operates its own internal market-making desk to meet order flow during high-traffic windows. Why prediction…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews