The post Stability in sight – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Inflation in Japan was again above the central bank’s target in September, at 2.9% overall, for the 42nd consecutive month. This is the context in which the new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, will deliver her first speech to parliament today, in which she intends to outline the priorities for the new government. One of the main points is likely to be the cost of living, which has risen significantly faster than wages in recent years, contributing to a real wage loss, Commerzbank’s FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes. BoJ to continue raising interest rates at a very slow pace “However, apart from isolated tax cuts and the temporary suspension of the gasoline tax, little structural change is expected. Problems in the agricultural sector, which appear to have contributed to the sharp rise in rice prices, do not seem to be on the agenda. Food price developments have been the main problem for inflation in recent months. Excluding these, the inflation rate in September was only 1.3%, well below the central bank’s target.” “In fact, it has been below 2% since May last year. We therefore continue to expect that the central bank will not raise interest rates next week. However, we do see the possibility that the BoJ will take this step in December. Among other things, this is likely to depend on the plans presented by Takaichi today and, in particular, how these are implemented or prepared for implementation in the coming weeks.” “For the moment, we assume that the government’s plans will neither address the structural problems that have led to cost inflation in the food sector in recent months. Nor will it present plans that will lead to a significant increase in wages. For inflation, this is likely to mean that the often-cited second force of demand-driven inflation… The post Stability in sight – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Inflation in Japan was again above the central bank’s target in September, at 2.9% overall, for the 42nd consecutive month. This is the context in which the new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, will deliver her first speech to parliament today, in which she intends to outline the priorities for the new government. One of the main points is likely to be the cost of living, which has risen significantly faster than wages in recent years, contributing to a real wage loss, Commerzbank’s FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes. BoJ to continue raising interest rates at a very slow pace “However, apart from isolated tax cuts and the temporary suspension of the gasoline tax, little structural change is expected. Problems in the agricultural sector, which appear to have contributed to the sharp rise in rice prices, do not seem to be on the agenda. Food price developments have been the main problem for inflation in recent months. Excluding these, the inflation rate in September was only 1.3%, well below the central bank’s target.” “In fact, it has been below 2% since May last year. We therefore continue to expect that the central bank will not raise interest rates next week. However, we do see the possibility that the BoJ will take this step in December. Among other things, this is likely to depend on the plans presented by Takaichi today and, in particular, how these are implemented or prepared for implementation in the coming weeks.” “For the moment, we assume that the government’s plans will neither address the structural problems that have led to cost inflation in the food sector in recent months. Nor will it present plans that will lead to a significant increase in wages. For inflation, this is likely to mean that the often-cited second force of demand-driven inflation…

Stability in sight – Commerzbank

2025/10/24 19:05

Inflation in Japan was again above the central bank’s target in September, at 2.9% overall, for the 42nd consecutive month. This is the context in which the new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, will deliver her first speech to parliament today, in which she intends to outline the priorities for the new government. One of the main points is likely to be the cost of living, which has risen significantly faster than wages in recent years, contributing to a real wage loss, Commerzbank’s FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.

BoJ to continue raising interest rates at a very slow pace

“However, apart from isolated tax cuts and the temporary suspension of the gasoline tax, little structural change is expected. Problems in the agricultural sector, which appear to have contributed to the sharp rise in rice prices, do not seem to be on the agenda. Food price developments have been the main problem for inflation in recent months. Excluding these, the inflation rate in September was only 1.3%, well below the central bank’s target.”

“In fact, it has been below 2% since May last year. We therefore continue to expect that the central bank will not raise interest rates next week. However, we do see the possibility that the BoJ will take this step in December. Among other things, this is likely to depend on the plans presented by Takaichi today and, in particular, how these are implemented or prepared for implementation in the coming weeks.”

“For the moment, we assume that the government’s plans will neither address the structural problems that have led to cost inflation in the food sector in recent months. Nor will it present plans that will lead to a significant increase in wages. For inflation, this is likely to mean that the often-cited second force of demand-driven inflation is likely to be a long time coming. On the other hand, structural problems should lead to sustained latent inflationary pressure on the cost side. Overall, we expect this to cause the overall rate to fall back below 2% in the coming months. However, a return to zero inflation is unlikely. This environment should allow the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates at a very slow pace. This is not enough for a significant appreciation of the JPY against the US dollar, but it should be enough for stabilization.”

Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/jpy-stability-in-sight-commerzbank-202510240953

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.
Share Insights

You May Also Like

UK Looks to US to Adopt More Crypto-Friendly Approach

UK Looks to US to Adopt More Crypto-Friendly Approach

The post UK Looks to US to Adopt More Crypto-Friendly Approach appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The UK and US are reportedly preparing to deepen cooperation on digital assets, with Britain looking to copy the Trump administration’s crypto-friendly stance in a bid to boost innovation.  UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent discussed on Tuesday how the two nations could strengthen their coordination on crypto, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday, citing people familiar with the matter.  The discussions also involved representatives from crypto companies, including Coinbase, Circle Internet Group and Ripple, with executives from the Bank of America, Barclays and Citi also attending, according to the report. The agreement was made “last-minute” after crypto advocacy groups urged the UK government on Thursday to adopt a more open stance toward the industry, claiming its cautious approach to the sector has left the country lagging in innovation and policy.  Source: Rachel Reeves Deal to include stablecoins, look to unlock adoption Any deal between the countries is likely to include stablecoins, the Financial Times reported, an area of crypto that US President Donald Trump made a policy priority and in which his family has significant business interests. The Financial Times reported on Monday that UK crypto advocacy groups also slammed the Bank of England’s proposal to limit individual stablecoin holdings to between 10,000 British pounds ($13,650) and 20,000 pounds ($27,300), claiming it would be difficult and expensive to implement. UK banks appear to have slowed adoption too, with around 40% of 2,000 recently surveyed crypto investors saying that their banks had either blocked or delayed a payment to a crypto provider.  Many of these actions have been linked to concerns over volatility, fraud and scams. The UK has made some progress on crypto regulation recently, proposing a framework in May that would see crypto exchanges, dealers, and agents treated similarly to traditional finance firms, with…
Share
2025/09/18 02:21