Altseason’s Hidden 120-Day Cycle Signals a Major Shift Ahead

Altcoins show a repeating 120-day downtrend cycle since 2024, with Total3 returning to key support and RSI near range lows.

Altcoin market trends are drawing renewed attention as analysts point to a recurring 120-day cycle shaping price action.

Recent data from the Total3 index shows a pattern of rallies followed by extended downtrends.

Market participants are now assessing whether the latest reset phase could mark another turning point.

Repeating 120-Day Downtrend Pattern Since 2024

Market data since January 2024 shows a recurring pattern of strong advances followed by extended corrections in the altcoin market.

In the first quarter of 2024, altcoins recorded sharp gains as capital rotated into higher-risk digital assets and trading volumes increased.

Market participation expanded across sectors, and prices moved higher in a relatively short period.

That rally was followed by a downtrend lasting about 120 days. Prices declined gradually rather than through a single sharp drop, and short-term rebounds were consistently sold into resistance.

Trading activity slowed compared to the rally phase, liquidity conditions tightened, and overall sentiment weakened as participants reduced exposure.

A similar structure appeared later in the cycle. A renewed rally developed in the fourth quarter of 2025, followed by another decline extending into early 2026.

The second pullback closely matched the earlier 120-day stretch in duration and behavior, reinforcing the presence of a repeating time-based correction pattern within the broader altcoin market cycle.

Structured Market Phases: Rally, Distribution, Reset

Analysts tracking Total3 note that the market appears to move in blocks. These blocks often follow a sequence of rally, distribution, slow decline, and reset.

Each phase shows distinct price behavior and momentum changes.

During rally phases, capital flows broadly into altcoins. Prices rise quickly, and trading volume increases.

However, distribution phases often follow as gains stabilize and volatility narrows.

The reset phase tends to involve steady downward pressure. This period can last several months.

The current market appears to be in such a reset window, based on time and price structure.

Related Reading: 99% of Altcoins May Never Reach New Highs Again, Analyst Warns

Support Levels and Momentum Indicators in Focus

Total3 has returned to a support range that previously acted as a floor. Price reactions have occurred around this level before. Traders are watching whether this zone holds again.

Momentum indicators also show extended weakness. The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, has trended lower for months. It now sits near the lower end of its historical range.

Some market participants view this combination as a sign of selling fatigue. However, no confirmation of a reversal has appeared yet.

Analysts note that stabilization in Bitcoin could influence broader altcoin movement.

The 120-day cycle pattern has appeared twice within the same broader market structure.

Observers are monitoring whether the current phase transitions into renewed accumulation. For now, price action remains within the established range.

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