After more than 12 months of sustained downside, collapsing sentiment, and structurally broken charts, recent data suggests the relative structure beneath the altcoinAfter more than 12 months of sustained downside, collapsing sentiment, and structurally broken charts, recent data suggests the relative structure beneath the altcoin

Altcoins Show Early Bottoming Signs Against Bitcoin After 12-Month Decline

2026/02/15 07:26
3 min read

After more than 12 months of sustained downside, collapsing sentiment, and structurally broken charts, recent data suggests the relative structure beneath the altcoin market may be shifting.

According to a recent report, the Others Dominance chart, which tracks how altcoins perform relative to Bitcoin, is beginning to display early recovery signals.

Divergence Between Bitcoin and Altcoins

Others dominance has already reclaimed the levels observed prior to the October 10 crash, which liquidated $19.3 billion. However, Bitcoin remains approximately 42% below its highs from that same period.

Source: https://x.com/BullTheoryio/status/2022716372179144811

This divergence is notable. While Bitcoin continues to trade below prior structural levels, altcoins are stabilizing on a relative basis and beginning to regain strength versus BTC.

Historically, when altcoins remain in heavy distribution, dominance continues to decline. That is not the case now. Instead, Others dominance has risen roughly 17% over the past two months, suggesting the forced selling phase may be nearing exhaustion.

Historical Parallel: 2019–2020

A similar structural setup occurred in 2019–2020. After quantitative easing ended, Bitcoin continued correcting for several months. However, Others dominance bottomed and never revisited those lows, not even during the March 2020 market shock.

That period marked the foundation for a multi-year altcoin uptrend.

While historical patterns do not guarantee repetition, the current relative strength behavior mirrors early-cycle stabilization rather than continued breakdown.

Additional Macro and Technical Signals

Several broader signals are aligning with this shift:

  • RSI on Others dominance has crossed above its moving average for the first time since July 2023. Historically, that crossover has preceded phases of alt strength.
  • The Russell 2000 index recently broke to new highs following a delayed cycle, and small-cap equities often lead liquidity rotations before higher-beta assets move.
  • The ISM index has climbed to 52, its highest reading in 40 months. Historically, readings above 55 have aligned with strong performance in higher-risk assets.
  • Core inflation has printed a five-year low, increasing the probability of future policy easing.
  • Gold and silver rallies are cooling, which in past cycles has preceded rotation from hard assets into risk-oriented markets.

Equities Flash Record Risk Appetite as Bitcoin Awaits U.S. Demand Confirmation

Structural Reset, But Patience Required

From a structural standpoint, the market appears reset. Most altcoins remain down 80–90% from cycle highs, leverage has been flushed, positioning is light, and sentiment remains near multi-year lows.

However, midterm election years have historically introduced volatility and occasional weakness in crypto markets. A scenario of sideways accumulation through Q3 or Q4 before a decisive reversal cannot be ruled out.

For now, the key observation is relative strength. While Bitcoin’s structure remains cautious, altcoins are no longer deteriorating versus BTC, and that shift often marks the early stage of broader rotation rather than its conclusion.

The post Altcoins Show Early Bottoming Signs Against Bitcoin After 12-Month Decline appeared first on ETHNews.

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Denver Broncos’ Patrick Surtain II And Detroit Lions’ Terrion Arnold Talk About Their New Podcast & Nick Saban

Denver Broncos’ Patrick Surtain II And Detroit Lions’ Terrion Arnold Talk About Their New Podcast & Nick Saban

The post Denver Broncos’ Patrick Surtain II And Detroit Lions’ Terrion Arnold Talk About Their New Podcast & Nick Saban appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Alabama Crimson Tide greats Patrick Surtain II and Terrion Arnold are debuting a new podcast called “Closed On Sundays.” (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images) Getty Images Patrick Surtain II and Terrion Arnold may not have played at the same time with the Alabama Crimson Tide, but they share a lot in common during their NFL careers. The two standout cornerbacks not only played at Alabama, they did so under legendary head coach Nick Saban. That path that started in Tuscaloosa led to both players being selected in the first round of the NFL draft, where they now serve as the No. 1 cornerbacks of their respective teams. In Surtain II’s case, he’s the reigning Defensive Player of the Year and regarded as one of the top overall players as a member of the Denver Broncos. In Arnold’s case, he’s coming off of a solid rookie campaign with the Detroit Lions. Considering their backgrounds, it’s no surprise that the two are pairing up to form their first podcasts together called “Closed On Sundays.” The weekly series will see the two share stories from an on-field perspective and behind the scenes, along with featuring weekly guests. It’s an interesting dynamic considering the 25-year-old Surtain II – even though he’s the more established of the duo – is more reserved whereas as the 22-year-old Arnold is more outspoken and is not afraid to give headline-worthy quotes. The Lions cornerback arguably gave the quote of the year shortly after he was drafted when he said he would jam his mom into the dirt if she lined up across him as a receiver. “It meshes well because Terrion may say the things that I may not say or may not come out of my mouth,” says Surtain II in a one-on-one interview. “It’s good to…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/19 00:29
Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

BitcoinWorld Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% The financial world is buzzing with a significant development: the probability of a Fed rate cut in October has just seen a dramatic increase. This isn’t just a minor shift; it’s a monumental change that could ripple through global markets, including the dynamic cryptocurrency space. For anyone tracking economic indicators and their impact on investments, this update from the U.S. interest rate futures market is absolutely crucial. What Just Happened? Unpacking the FOMC Statement’s Impact Following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, market sentiment has decisively shifted. Before the announcement, the U.S. interest rate futures market had priced in a 71.6% chance of an October rate cut. However, after the statement, this figure surged to an astounding 94%. This jump indicates that traders and analysts are now overwhelmingly confident that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next month. Such a high probability suggests a strong consensus emerging from the Fed’s latest communications and economic outlook. A Fed rate cut typically means cheaper borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which can stimulate economic activity. But what does this really signify for investors, especially those in the digital asset realm? Why is a Fed Rate Cut So Significant for Markets? When the Federal Reserve adjusts interest rates, it sends powerful signals across the entire financial ecosystem. A rate cut generally implies a more accommodative monetary policy, often enacted to boost economic growth or combat deflationary pressures. Impact on Traditional Markets: Stocks: Lower interest rates can make borrowing cheaper for companies, potentially boosting earnings and making stocks more attractive compared to bonds. Bonds: Existing bonds with higher yields might become more valuable, but new bonds will likely offer lower returns. Dollar Strength: A rate cut can weaken the U.S. dollar, making exports cheaper and potentially benefiting multinational corporations. Potential for Cryptocurrency Markets: The cryptocurrency market, while often seen as uncorrelated, can still react significantly to macro-economic shifts. A Fed rate cut could be interpreted as: Increased Risk Appetite: With traditional investments offering lower returns, investors might seek higher-yielding or more volatile assets like cryptocurrencies. Inflation Hedge Narrative: If rate cuts are perceived as a precursor to inflation, assets like Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” could gain traction as an inflation hedge. Liquidity Influx: A more accommodative monetary environment generally means more liquidity in the financial system, some of which could flow into digital assets. Looking Ahead: What Could This Mean for Your Portfolio? While the 94% probability for a Fed rate cut in October is compelling, it’s essential to consider the nuances. Market probabilities can shift, and the Fed’s ultimate decision will depend on incoming economic data. Actionable Insights: Stay Informed: Continue to monitor economic reports, inflation data, and future Fed statements. Diversify: A diversified portfolio can help mitigate risks associated with sudden market shifts. Assess Risk Tolerance: Understand how a potential rate cut might affect your specific investments and adjust your strategy accordingly. This increased likelihood of a Fed rate cut presents both opportunities and challenges. It underscores the interconnectedness of traditional finance and the emerging digital asset space. Investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility. The financial landscape is always evolving, and the significant surge in the probability of an October Fed rate cut is a clear signal of impending change. From stimulating economic growth to potentially fueling interest in digital assets, the implications are vast. Staying informed and strategically positioned will be key as we approach this crucial decision point. The market is now almost certain of a rate cut, and understanding its potential ripple effects is paramount for every investor. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)? A1: The FOMC is the monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve System. It sets the federal funds rate, which influences other interest rates and economic conditions. Q2: How does a Fed rate cut impact the U.S. dollar? A2: A rate cut typically makes the U.S. dollar less attractive to foreign investors seeking higher returns, potentially leading to a weakening of the dollar against other currencies. Q3: Why might a Fed rate cut be good for cryptocurrency? A3: Lower interest rates can reduce the appeal of traditional investments, encouraging investors to seek higher returns in alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. It can also be seen as a sign of increased liquidity or potential inflation, benefiting assets like Bitcoin. Q4: Is a 94% probability a guarantee of a rate cut? A4: While a 94% probability is very high, it is not a guarantee. Market probabilities reflect current sentiment and data, but the Federal Reserve’s final decision will depend on all available economic information leading up to their meeting. Q5: What should investors do in response to this news? A5: Investors should stay informed about economic developments, review their portfolio diversification, and assess their risk tolerance. Consider how potential changes in interest rates might affect different asset classes and adjust strategies as needed. Did you find this analysis helpful? Share this article with your network to keep others informed about the potential impact of the upcoming Fed rate cut and its implications for the financial markets! To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action. This post Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Share
Coinstats2025/09/18 02:25
World Liberty Financial to Tokenise Revenue From Trump

World Liberty Financial to Tokenise Revenue From Trump

WLFI expands into tokenised hospitality assets, structuring a private placement linked to a Maldives luxury resort. The post World Liberty Financial to Tokenise
Share
Cryptonews AU2026/02/19 14:29