UNI Price Prediction: Oversold Bounce Could Target $3.85 by March 2026

Zach Anderson Feb 11, 2026 10:46

UNI trades at $3.23 with RSI at 26.47 signaling oversold conditions. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $3.85-$4.03 range if key support levels hold through February-March 2026.

Uniswap (UNI) has experienced significant downward pressure, currently trading at $3.23 with a 4.27% decline over the past 24 hours. However, technical indicators are painting an interesting picture that suggests the decentralized exchange token may be approaching a potential reversal point.

UNI Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $3.47-$3.85
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $3.11-$4.03 range
• Bullish breakout level: $4.03 (20-day SMA)
• Critical support: $3.11

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Uniswap

While specific analyst predictions from the immediate term are limited, recent forecasts from early January provide valuable context. Peter Zhang analyzed UNI's technical setup in January, noting "UNI price prediction shows bearish momentum at $5.40 with RSI at 41.60. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $6.29 upper Bollinger Band if $5.30 support holds through January."

CoinCodex had projected that "Over the next five days, Uniswap will reach the highest price of $5.85 on Jan 13, 2026, which would represent 7.20% growth compared to the current price" during their January analysis.

However, these predictions were made when UNI was trading significantly higher. The current technical landscape has shifted dramatically, requiring a fresh assessment based on present market conditions.

UNI Technical Analysis Breakdown

The current UNI price prediction hinges on several critical technical factors that paint a mixed but potentially optimistic picture for contrarian investors.

RSI Signals Oversold Territory: At 26.47, Uniswap's RSI has plunged deep into oversold territory (below 30), suggesting selling pressure may be exhausted. This level historically indicates potential for a technical bounce, especially when combined with other supporting factors.

MACD Shows Bearish Momentum Stalling: The MACD histogram sits at 0.0000, indicating that bearish momentum may be reaching an inflection point. While the overall MACD remains negative at -0.4887, the neutral histogram suggests momentum could shift.

Bollinger Bands Position: UNI's position at 0.1543 within the Bollinger Bands places it very close to the lower band at $2.87. The current price of $3.23 sits well below the middle band (20-day SMA) at $4.03, indicating oversold conditions from a volatility-adjusted perspective.

Moving Average Structure: The moving average structure remains bearish with UNI trading below all major averages: - 7-day SMA: $3.40 - 20-day SMA: $4.03
- 50-day SMA: $4.97 - 200-day SMA: $7.13

Uniswap Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

In the optimistic Uniswap forecast, UNI could target the immediate resistance at $3.35, followed by the stronger resistance at $3.47. If momentum builds, the 7-day SMA at $3.40 becomes the next logical target.

A sustained move above $3.47 could open the door to testing the 20-day SMA at $4.03, which would represent a 25% gain from current levels. The upper Bollinger Band at $5.18 remains a longer-term bullish target, though this would require significant fundamental catalysts.

Technical confirmation needed: A break above $3.47 with volume, followed by RSI recovery above 40, would strengthen the bullish case considerably.

Bearish Scenario

The bear case for this UNI price prediction centers on a breakdown below the strong support at $3.11. Such a move could target the lower Bollinger Band at $2.87, representing an 11% decline from current levels.

A deeper correction could test the psychological $2.50 level, especially if broader crypto markets face additional selling pressure. The daily ATR of $0.37 suggests significant volatility remains possible in both directions.

Risk factors: Continued DeFi sector weakness, regulatory concerns affecting DEX tokens, or broader crypto market correction could pressure UNI lower.

Should You Buy UNI? Entry Strategy

For traders considering UNI, the current oversold conditions present both opportunity and risk. A conservative approach would involve:

Primary Entry Zone: $3.11-$3.23 (current support area)
Secondary Entry: $2.87-$3.00 (lower Bollinger Band area)
Stop-loss: Below $2.75 (approximately 15% risk from $3.23 entry)
Initial Target: $3.47 (immediate resistance)
Extended Target: $4.03 (20-day SMA)

Risk management remains crucial given UNI's 24-hour volatility and the broader uncertainty in crypto markets. Position sizing should reflect the speculative nature of this oversold bounce play.

Conclusion

This UNI price prediction suggests that while Uniswap faces near-term headwinds, the technical setup favors a potential bounce toward $3.85-$4.03 over the coming weeks. The RSI oversold reading and proximity to Bollinger Band support provide reasonable risk-reward for contrarian traders.

However, this Uniswap forecast carries moderate confidence given the broader bearish structure in moving averages. Traders should monitor the $3.11 support level closely, as a break below could signal further downside toward $2.87.

Disclaimer: This UNI price prediction is based on technical analysis and should not be considered investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

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