Darius Baruo
Jan 20, 2026 07:08
Toncoin shows potential for 47-54% upside to $2.30-$2.40 targets despite current bearish momentum, with key support at $1.50 and resistance at $1.67 defining near-term range. TON Price Prediction…
Toncoin shows potential for 47-54% upside to $2.30-$2.40 targets despite current bearish momentum, with key support at $1.50 and resistance at $1.67 defining near-term range.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $1.67
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.30-$2.40 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.67
• Critical support: $1.50
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin
While specific analyst predictions from recent KOL activity are limited, recent forecasts from blockchain analytics platforms provide insight into TON’s trajectory. According to CoinCodex analysis from January 4, 2026, “Toncoin is expected to reach a price of $2.39 by Jan 9, 2026,” establishing a clear upside target.
Blockchain.News reported on January 5, 2026, that “TON price prediction shows bullish momentum toward $2.30 target within 30 days, but overbought RSI at 71.64 suggests near-term consolidation around $1.89 resistance level.” More recently, their January 14, 2026 analysis stated that “Toncoin shows bullish momentum with technical indicators pointing to $2.40 targets.”
These Toncoin forecast assessments suggest the market maintains confidence in TON’s ability to recover toward the $2.30-$2.40 range, though current technical conditions indicate consolidation may be necessary before the next leg higher.
TON Technical Analysis Breakdown
Current market conditions paint a mixed picture for Toncoin. Trading at $1.56, TON sits 1.82% lower over the past 24 hours, with the price action confined to a narrow $1.55-$1.63 range. The token’s position relative to key moving averages reveals the challenge ahead.
TON trades below most significant moving averages, with the 7-day SMA at $1.68, 20-day SMA at $1.76, and notably, the 200-day SMA at $2.45. This positioning confirms the medium-term bearish trend, though the proximity to the 50-day SMA at $1.64 suggests potential for near-term stabilization.
The RSI reading of 37.83 indicates neutral conditions with room for upward movement before reaching overbought territory. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has stalled, potentially setting up for a reversal. The Stochastic oscillator readings (%K: 8.83, %D: 7.06) suggest TON may be approaching oversold conditions.
Bollinger Band analysis reveals TON trading near the lower band at $1.58, with a %B position of -0.03 indicating the price has touched support. The middle band at $1.76 and upper band at $1.95 provide clear targets for any recovery move.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The bull case for this TON price prediction centers on a break above the immediate resistance at $1.67, which would trigger momentum toward the 20-day SMA at $1.76. Success at this level opens the door to test the upper Bollinger Band at $1.95, aligning with previous analyst targets.
The ultimate bullish target remains the $2.30-$2.40 zone identified in recent Toncoin forecast reports. Technical confirmation would require sustained trading above $1.76 with increasing volume, followed by a decisive break of $2.00 psychological resistance. The daily ATR of $0.08 suggests moves of this magnitude are achievable within the current volatility environment.
Bearish Scenario
The bear case scenario involves a breakdown below the critical $1.50 support level, which would expose TON to further downside toward $1.30-$1.35. Given the current position near the lower Bollinger Band and weak momentum indicators, this risk remains elevated in the near term.
A failure to reclaim the $1.62 immediate resistance could extend the consolidation phase, potentially testing investor patience and triggering additional selling pressure. The significant gap between current prices and the 200-day SMA at $2.45 illustrates the depth of the correction already experienced.
Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical levels, a scaled entry approach appears most prudent for this TON price prediction scenario. Initial positions could be considered near current levels around $1.56, with additional accumulation planned on any dip toward the $1.50 strong support.
The ideal entry point would be a pullback to $1.52-$1.53 with a stop-loss below $1.48 to limit downside risk. For more aggressive traders, a breakout above $1.67 with volume confirmation could signal the start of the recovery move toward $2.30 targets.
Risk management remains crucial given the 24-hour trading volume of $9.09 million on Binance, which while respectable, suggests liquidity could become a factor during volatile periods. Position sizing should account for the potential 54% upside against the risk of a 13% decline to stop-loss levels.
Conclusion
This TON price prediction suggests Toncoin remains positioned for a significant recovery toward $2.30-$2.40 targets over the coming month, representing 47-54% upside potential from current levels. While near-term technical indicators show bearish momentum has stalled, a successful break above $1.67 resistance would confirm the bullish thesis.
The convergence of analyst forecasts around the $2.30-$2.40 zone provides additional confidence in this Toncoin forecast, though investors should remain mindful of the critical $1.50 support level that must hold to maintain the bullish outlook.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and uncertainty. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
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Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260120-price-prediction-ton-targets-230-240-recovery-by-february
