James Ding
Jan 10, 2026 16:40
XLM trades at $0.23 with analysts targeting $0.28-$0.31 within weeks. Technical analysis shows neutral RSI at 49.55 but bearish MACD momentum creates uncertainty for Stellar’s next move.
EXCERPT: XLM trades at $0.23 with analysts targeting $0.28-$0.31 within weeks. Technical analysis shows neutral RSI at 49.55 but bearish MACD momentum creates uncertainty for Stellar’s next move.
XLM Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $0.24-$0.25
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.28-$0.31 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.25 (Upper Bollinger Band)
• Critical support: $0.22
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Stellar
Recent analyst predictions paint a cautiously optimistic picture for XLM’s price trajectory. Caroline Bishop provided a notable Stellar forecast on January 3, stating: “XLM price prediction suggests potential rally to $0.28-$0.31 range within 4-6 weeks as technical indicators show early bullish momentum building from critical support.”
CoinCodex offered a more conservative short-term outlook, projecting that “Over the next five days, Stellar will reach the highest price of $0.2415 on Jan 12, 2026, which would represent 3.19% growth compared to the current price.”
MEXC News provided the broadest range for January, suggesting “Stellar (XLM) could trade between $0.204 and $0.270 in January 2026, with an average price of $0.214, depending on market dynamics and the current forecast.”
XLM Technical Analysis Breakdown
Current technical indicators present a mixed picture for Stellar’s immediate price action. Trading at $0.2266, XLM sits above its 20-day SMA of $0.22 but remains well below the 200-day SMA of $0.32, indicating medium-term bearish pressure.
The RSI reading of 49.55 places Stellar in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This provides room for movement in either direction without immediate reversal pressure.
MACD analysis reveals concerning signals with the histogram at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum despite the MACD line and signal line converging near identical levels (0.0006). This convergence suggests potential for a directional breakout.
Bollinger Bands positioning shows XLM at 0.6012, placing it in the upper portion of the bands between the middle band ($0.22) and upper band ($0.25). This positioning suggests upward pressure against the $0.25 resistance level.
The Stochastic oscillator shows %K at 50.43 and %D at 40.35, indicating neutral momentum with slight bullish divergence.
Stellar Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In an optimistic scenario, XLM price prediction points toward the $0.28-$0.31 range as suggested by recent analyst forecasts. The immediate resistance at $0.24 and strong resistance at $0.25 (Upper Bollinger Band) must be cleared first.
A successful break above $0.25 could trigger momentum toward Caroline Bishop’s target range, especially if supported by increased volume. The key technical confirmation needed would be:
– RSI breaking above 60
– MACD histogram turning positive
– Sustained trading above the 50-day SMA
Bearish Scenario
The bear case for this XLM price prediction centers on the current bearish MACD momentum and significant gap to the 200-day SMA. If support at $0.22 fails, Stellar could test the lower Bollinger Band at $0.20.
Downside targets align with MEXC’s lower range estimate of $0.204. Risk factors include:
– Bitcoin correlation during market downturns
– Failure to maintain above 20-day SMA support
– RSI dropping below 40
Should You Buy XLM? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical levels, potential entry points for this Stellar forecast include:
Conservative approach: Wait for a pullback to the $0.22 support level (20-day SMA) for better risk-reward positioning.
Aggressive approach: Enter on a confirmed break above $0.24 with stop-loss at $0.215.
Stop-loss recommendations: Place stops below $0.20 (Lower Bollinger Band) to limit downside exposure while allowing for normal volatility.
Risk management remains crucial given the mixed technical signals and XLM’s current position between key moving averages.
Conclusion
This XLM price prediction suggests cautious optimism for Stellar’s near-term prospects. While analyst targets of $0.28-$0.31 appear achievable within 4-6 weeks, the immediate path requires clearing resistance at $0.24-$0.25.
The neutral RSI provides flexibility for movement, but bearish MACD momentum creates uncertainty. Traders should monitor for technical confirmation above $0.25 before assuming the bullish scenario unfolds.
Confidence level: Moderate (60%) for reaching $0.28 within the projected timeframe, contingent on broader crypto market stability.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry high risk, and prices can be extremely volatile. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
Image source: Shutterstock
Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260110-price-prediction-xlm-stellar-eyes-028-breakout-as-technical
