Markets Share Share this article Copy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmail Latest bitcoin bull turns bear, Fidelity dir Markets Share Share this article Copy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmail Latest bitcoin bull turns bear, Fidelity dir

Latest bitcoin bull turns bear, Fidelity director warns of year-long crypto winter

Share
Share this article
Copy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmail

Latest bitcoin bull turns bear, Fidelity director warns of year-long crypto winter

Fidelity’s global macro director, Jurien Timmer, has called the end of the latest bitcoin bull run, while highlighting gold’s continued bull market strength.

By James Van Straten|Edited by Jamie Crawley
Dec 19, 2025, 10:05 a.m.
Bear overlooking woodland (Pixabay)

What to know:

  • Fidelity’s global macro director, Jurien Timmer says bitcoin’s October peak near $125,000 aligns closely with prior four year cycles in both price and time.
  • Timmer suggests 2026 could be a “year off,” for bitcoin with key support seen between $65,000 and $75,000.
  • Timmer contrasts bitcoin’s recent weakness with gold’s strong 2025 performance, noting gold is behaving as expected in a bull market by holding onto most of its gains during its latest correction.

Jurien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity and a long time bitcoin bull, has become one of the latest financial strategists to turn more bearish on bitcoin BTC$88,061.30, citing the asset’s four year cycle.

Bitcoin has historically followed a repeatable pattern, and from both an analog and time-based perspective, the current cycle appears to be aligning closely with prior ones, Timmer argues.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
Don't miss another story.Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today. See all newsletters
Sign me up

The October all-time high near $125,000, reached after roughly 145 months of cumulative rallying, fits well within the framework. Bitcoin bear markets, often referred to as winters, typically last about a year, Timmer says. As a result, he sees 2026 as a potential “year off” for bitcoin following the conclusion of the latest halving driven cycle.

“While I remain a secular bull on bitcoin, my concern is that bitcoin may well have ended another four year cycle halving phase, both in price and time," Timmer wrote on X.

"If we visually line up all the bull markets, we can see that the October high of $125k after 145 months of rallying fits pretty well with what one might expect. Bitcoin winters have lasted about a year, so my sense is that 2026 could be a year off for bitcoin. Support is at $65,000 to $75,000.”

Timmer also highlights gold’s strong performance in 2025, contrasting it with bitcoin’s negative year, and does not expect a near term mean reversion between the two assets.

Gold is firmly in a bull market, up roughly 65% year to date, outperforming global money supply growth, Timmer noted. He adds that during the recent correction, gold has held onto most of its gains, which he views as characteristic behavior of a bull market.

Bitcoin NewsFidelity

More For You

Protocol Research: GoPlus Security

Commissioned byGoPlus

What to know:

  • As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M.
  • GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month.
  • Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B.
View Full Report

More For You

Metaplanet to start sponsored ADR program to woo over-the-counter U.S. investors

The sponsored level I ADR listing strengthens U.S. investor access, settlement quality and market credibility, the company said.

What to know:

  • Metaplanet’s sponsored level I ADRs will trade over the counter under the ticker MPJPY starting Dec. 19.
  • The ADRs will offer U.S. dollar settlement, improved liquidity and standardized U.S. market infrastructure without raising new capital.
  • Metaplanet shares rose 6% in Tokyo trading to 443 yen ($2.80).
Read full story
Latest Crypto News

Coinbase files lawsuits in 3 states over attempts to regulate prediction markets

Metaplanet to start sponsored ADR program to woo over-the-counter U.S. investors

Bybit returns to UK with 100 crypto trading pairs after 2-year break

XRP higher after early dip as buyers step in near $1.80

Crypto breaks higher as BOJ decision clears a macro overhang

Bitcoin jumps above $87,000, yen slides as Bank of Japan hikes interest rates

Top Stories

Bitcoin jumps above $87,000, yen slides as Bank of Japan hikes interest rates

Coinbase files lawsuits in 3 states over attempts to regulate prediction markets

Senate confirms Trump crypto-friendly nominees to take over CFTC, FDIC

What if crypto's U.S. market structure effort just never gets there?

Metaplanet to start sponsored ADR program to woo over-the-counter U.S. investors

Crypto breaks higher as BOJ decision clears a macro overhang

Market Opportunity
Tron Bull Logo
Tron Bull Price(BULL)
$0.000954
$0.000954$0.000954
0.00%
USD
Tron Bull (BULL) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Building a DEXScreener Clone: A Step-by-Step Guide

Building a DEXScreener Clone: A Step-by-Step Guide

DEX Screener is used by crypto traders who need access to on-chain data like trading volumes, liquidity, and token prices. This information allows them to analyze trends, monitor new listings, and make informed investment decisions. In this tutorial, I will build a DEXScreener clone from scratch, covering everything from the initial design to a functional app. We will use Streamlit, a Python framework for building full-stack apps.
Share
Hackernoon2025/09/18 15:05
Which DOGE? Musk's Cryptic Post Explodes Confusion

Which DOGE? Musk's Cryptic Post Explodes Confusion

A viral chart documenting a sharp decline in U.S. federal employment during President Trump's second term has sparked unexpected confusion in cryptocurrency markets
Share
Coinstats2025/12/20 01:13
Google's AP2 protocol has been released. Does encrypted AI still have a chance?

Google's AP2 protocol has been released. Does encrypted AI still have a chance?

Following the MCP and A2A protocols, the AI Agent market has seen another blockbuster arrival: the Agent Payments Protocol (AP2), developed by Google. This will clearly further enhance AI Agents' autonomous multi-tasking capabilities, but the unfortunate reality is that it has little to do with web3AI. Let's take a closer look: What problem does AP2 solve? Simply put, the MCP protocol is like a universal hook, enabling AI agents to connect to various external tools and data sources; A2A is a team collaboration communication protocol that allows multiple AI agents to cooperate with each other to complete complex tasks; AP2 completes the last piece of the puzzle - payment capability. In other words, MCP opens up connectivity, A2A promotes collaboration efficiency, and AP2 achieves value exchange. The arrival of AP2 truly injects "soul" into the autonomous collaboration and task execution of Multi-Agents. Imagine AI Agents connecting Qunar, Meituan, and Didi to complete the booking of flights, hotels, and car rentals, but then getting stuck at the point of "self-payment." What's the point of all that multitasking? So, remember this: AP2 is an extension of MCP+A2A, solving the last mile problem of AI Agent automated execution. What are the technical highlights of AP2? The core innovation of AP2 is the Mandates mechanism, which is divided into real-time authorization mode and delegated authorization mode. Real-time authorization is easy to understand. The AI Agent finds the product and shows it to you. The operation can only be performed after the user signs. Delegated authorization requires the user to set rules in advance, such as only buying the iPhone 17 when the price drops to 5,000. The AI Agent monitors the trigger conditions and executes automatically. The implementation logic is cryptographically signed using Verifiable Credentials (VCs). Users can set complex commission conditions, including price ranges, time limits, and payment method priorities, forming a tamper-proof digital contract. Once signed, the AI Agent executes according to the conditions, with VCs ensuring auditability and security at every step. Of particular note is the "A2A x402" extension, a technical component developed by Google specifically for crypto payments, developed in collaboration with Coinbase and the Ethereum Foundation. This extension enables AI Agents to seamlessly process stablecoins, ETH, and other blockchain assets, supporting native payment scenarios within the Web3 ecosystem. What kind of imagination space can AP2 bring? After analyzing the technical principles, do you think that's it? Yes, in fact, the AP2 is boring when it is disassembled alone. Its real charm lies in connecting and opening up the "MCP+A2A+AP2" technology stack, completely opening up the complete link of AI Agent's autonomous analysis+execution+payment. From now on, AI Agents can open up many application scenarios. For example, AI Agents for stock investment and financial management can help us monitor the market 24/7 and conduct independent transactions. Enterprise procurement AI Agents can automatically replenish and renew without human intervention. AP2's complementary payment capabilities will further expand the penetration of the Agent-to-Agent economy into more scenarios. Google obviously understands that after the technical framework is established, the ecological implementation must be relied upon, so it has brought in more than 60 partners to develop it, almost covering the entire payment and business ecosystem. Interestingly, it also involves major Crypto players such as Ethereum, Coinbase, MetaMask, and Sui. Combined with the current trend of currency and stock integration, the imagination space has been doubled. Is web3 AI really dead? Not entirely. Google's AP2 looks complete, but it only achieves technical compatibility with Crypto payments. It can only be regarded as an extension of the traditional authorization framework and belongs to the category of automated execution. There is a "paradigm" difference between it and the autonomous asset management pursued by pure Crypto native solutions. The Crypto-native solutions under exploration are taking the "decentralized custody + on-chain verification" route, including AI Agent autonomous asset management, AI Agent autonomous transactions (DeFAI), AI Agent digital identity and on-chain reputation system (ERC-8004...), AI Agent on-chain governance DAO framework, AI Agent NPC and digital avatars, and many other interesting and fun directions. Ultimately, once users get used to AI Agent payments in traditional fields, their acceptance of AI Agents autonomously owning digital assets will also increase. And for those scenarios that AP2 cannot reach, such as anonymous transactions, censorship-resistant payments, and decentralized asset management, there will always be a time for crypto-native solutions to show their strength? The two are more likely to be complementary rather than competitive, but to be honest, the key technological advancements behind AI Agents currently all come from web2AI, and web3AI still needs to keep up the good work!
Share
PANews2025/09/18 07:00