The post Bitcoin Could Be Running Out on Exchanges appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin Bitcoin’s price may look stable on the surface, but the behaviorThe post Bitcoin Could Be Running Out on Exchanges appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin Bitcoin’s price may look stable on the surface, but the behavior

Bitcoin Could Be Running Out on Exchanges

2025/12/13 15:37
Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s price may look stable on the surface, but the behavior of holders tells a far more aggressive story.

As BTC trades near the $91,000 zone, activity on the world’s largest exchange suggests investors are quietly removing ammunition from the market. Rather than preparing to sell into strength, a growing share of Bitcoin holders appear to be locking coins away, shrinking the amount of supply available for trading.

Key Takeaways
  • Bitcoin holders are removing coins from exchanges instead of selling.
  • Exchange supply is tightening as prices remain elevated.
  • Analysts see conditions consistent with a developing supply shock.

This shift is unfolding most clearly on Binance. Instead of the usual balance between coins flowing in and out, the exchange is seeing an extreme imbalance – one that has rarely appeared in Bitcoin’s history. Coins are leaving at a pace that far exceeds new inflows, creating conditions that analysts associate with tightening supply rather than distribution.

When High Prices Don’t Trigger Selling

In previous market cycles, elevated prices tended to draw sellers back onto exchanges. Long-term holders typically used periods near local or all-time highs to move Bitcoin into trading venues and realize profits. That pattern is notably absent now.

Despite Bitcoin holding near historically high levels, exchange inflows have slowed to a crawl. At the same time, outbound transactions have surged, signaling that holders are opting for custody over liquidity. This behavior suggests conviction that the current phase of the market has further to run.

Instead of viewing current prices as an exit opportunity, investors appear to be treating them as a checkpoint.

Supply Is Being Quietly Removed

What makes the current setup stand out is the scale of the divergence. Withdrawal activity has pushed into territory last seen many years ago, while deposit activity has sunk to levels that predate most of Bitcoin’s institutional era.

The result is a steady drain of Bitcoin from exchange order books. Fewer coins available for sale means thinner liquidity, and thinner liquidity historically magnifies the impact of incoming demand.

CryptoQuant characterizes this environment as a classic supply squeeze – not driven by hype or leverage, but by simple absence of sellers.

Why the Market Structure Matters

A supply shock does not require explosive buying to move prices. When liquid supply contracts, even moderate demand can force prices higher as buyers compete over a shrinking pool of available coins.

This dynamic often develops quietly. Price consolidates, volatility compresses, and sentiment appears calm – until demand increases and there is little resistance on the sell side.

Analysts note that current behavior implies many holders believe Bitcoin has not yet completed its price discovery phase. Coins are being withheld from the market, not prepared for sale.

No Frenzy, Just Scarcity

What makes this phase unusual is the lack of visible excitement. Trading volumes remain relatively contained, and price action has avoided extreme swings. Yet beneath that calm, supply is steadily being removed.

Historically, some of Bitcoin’s sharpest advances have followed similar conditions: low sell pressure, persistent withdrawals, and patience among long-term holders.

Whether this setup leads to a breakout will depend on demand returning in force. From the supply side, however, the message is already clear – Bitcoin is becoming harder to find on exchanges.


The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Coindoo.com does not endorse or recommend any specific investment strategy or cryptocurrency. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Author

Krasimir Rusev is a journalist with many years of experience in covering cryptocurrencies and financial markets. He specializes in analysis, news, and forecasts for digital assets, providing readers with in-depth and reliable information on the latest market trends. His expertise and professionalism make him a valuable source of information for investors, traders, and anyone who follows the dynamics of the crypto world.

Next article

Source: https://coindoo.com/bitcoin-could-be-running-out-on-exchanges-heres-why-it-matters/

Market Opportunity
MAY Logo
MAY Price(MAY)
$0.01267
$0.01267$0.01267
-11.89%
USD
MAY (MAY) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For

The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For

The post The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Visions of future technology are often prescient about the broad strokes while flubbing the details. The tablets in “2001: A Space Odyssey” do indeed look like iPads, but you never see the astronauts paying for subscriptions or wasting hours on Candy Crush.  Channel factories are one vision that arose early in the history of the Lightning Network to address some challenges that Lightning has faced from the beginning. Despite having grown to become Bitcoin’s most successful layer-2 scaling solution, with instant and low-fee payments, Lightning’s scale is limited by its reliance on payment channels. Although Lightning shifts most transactions off-chain, each payment channel still requires an on-chain transaction to open and (usually) another to close. As adoption grows, pressure on the blockchain grows with it. The need for a more scalable approach to managing channels is clear. Channel factories were supposed to meet this need, but where are they? In 2025, subnetworks are emerging that revive the impetus of channel factories with some new details that vastly increase their potential. They are natively interoperable with Lightning and achieve greater scale by allowing a group of participants to open a shared multisig UTXO and create multiple bilateral channels, which reduces the number of on-chain transactions and improves capital efficiency. Achieving greater scale by reducing complexity, Ark and Spark perform the same function as traditional channel factories with new designs and additional capabilities based on shared UTXOs.  Channel Factories 101 Channel factories have been around since the inception of Lightning. A factory is a multiparty contract where multiple users (not just two, as in a Dryja-Poon channel) cooperatively lock funds in a single multisig UTXO. They can open, close and update channels off-chain without updating the blockchain for each operation. Only when participants leave or the factory dissolves is an on-chain transaction…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:09
SOLANA NETWORK Withstands 6 Tbps DDoS Without Downtime

SOLANA NETWORK Withstands 6 Tbps DDoS Without Downtime

The post SOLANA NETWORK Withstands 6 Tbps DDoS Without Downtime appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In a pivotal week for crypto infrastructure, the Solana network
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/12/16 20:44
Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

BitcoinWorld Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% The financial world is buzzing with a significant development: the probability of a Fed rate cut in October has just seen a dramatic increase. This isn’t just a minor shift; it’s a monumental change that could ripple through global markets, including the dynamic cryptocurrency space. For anyone tracking economic indicators and their impact on investments, this update from the U.S. interest rate futures market is absolutely crucial. What Just Happened? Unpacking the FOMC Statement’s Impact Following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, market sentiment has decisively shifted. Before the announcement, the U.S. interest rate futures market had priced in a 71.6% chance of an October rate cut. However, after the statement, this figure surged to an astounding 94%. This jump indicates that traders and analysts are now overwhelmingly confident that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next month. Such a high probability suggests a strong consensus emerging from the Fed’s latest communications and economic outlook. A Fed rate cut typically means cheaper borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which can stimulate economic activity. But what does this really signify for investors, especially those in the digital asset realm? Why is a Fed Rate Cut So Significant for Markets? When the Federal Reserve adjusts interest rates, it sends powerful signals across the entire financial ecosystem. A rate cut generally implies a more accommodative monetary policy, often enacted to boost economic growth or combat deflationary pressures. Impact on Traditional Markets: Stocks: Lower interest rates can make borrowing cheaper for companies, potentially boosting earnings and making stocks more attractive compared to bonds. Bonds: Existing bonds with higher yields might become more valuable, but new bonds will likely offer lower returns. Dollar Strength: A rate cut can weaken the U.S. dollar, making exports cheaper and potentially benefiting multinational corporations. Potential for Cryptocurrency Markets: The cryptocurrency market, while often seen as uncorrelated, can still react significantly to macro-economic shifts. A Fed rate cut could be interpreted as: Increased Risk Appetite: With traditional investments offering lower returns, investors might seek higher-yielding or more volatile assets like cryptocurrencies. Inflation Hedge Narrative: If rate cuts are perceived as a precursor to inflation, assets like Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” could gain traction as an inflation hedge. Liquidity Influx: A more accommodative monetary environment generally means more liquidity in the financial system, some of which could flow into digital assets. Looking Ahead: What Could This Mean for Your Portfolio? While the 94% probability for a Fed rate cut in October is compelling, it’s essential to consider the nuances. Market probabilities can shift, and the Fed’s ultimate decision will depend on incoming economic data. Actionable Insights: Stay Informed: Continue to monitor economic reports, inflation data, and future Fed statements. Diversify: A diversified portfolio can help mitigate risks associated with sudden market shifts. Assess Risk Tolerance: Understand how a potential rate cut might affect your specific investments and adjust your strategy accordingly. This increased likelihood of a Fed rate cut presents both opportunities and challenges. It underscores the interconnectedness of traditional finance and the emerging digital asset space. Investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility. The financial landscape is always evolving, and the significant surge in the probability of an October Fed rate cut is a clear signal of impending change. From stimulating economic growth to potentially fueling interest in digital assets, the implications are vast. Staying informed and strategically positioned will be key as we approach this crucial decision point. The market is now almost certain of a rate cut, and understanding its potential ripple effects is paramount for every investor. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)? A1: The FOMC is the monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve System. It sets the federal funds rate, which influences other interest rates and economic conditions. Q2: How does a Fed rate cut impact the U.S. dollar? A2: A rate cut typically makes the U.S. dollar less attractive to foreign investors seeking higher returns, potentially leading to a weakening of the dollar against other currencies. Q3: Why might a Fed rate cut be good for cryptocurrency? A3: Lower interest rates can reduce the appeal of traditional investments, encouraging investors to seek higher returns in alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. It can also be seen as a sign of increased liquidity or potential inflation, benefiting assets like Bitcoin. Q4: Is a 94% probability a guarantee of a rate cut? A4: While a 94% probability is very high, it is not a guarantee. Market probabilities reflect current sentiment and data, but the Federal Reserve’s final decision will depend on all available economic information leading up to their meeting. Q5: What should investors do in response to this news? A5: Investors should stay informed about economic developments, review their portfolio diversification, and assess their risk tolerance. Consider how potential changes in interest rates might affect different asset classes and adjust strategies as needed. Did you find this analysis helpful? Share this article with your network to keep others informed about the potential impact of the upcoming Fed rate cut and its implications for the financial markets! To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action. This post Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Share
Coinstats2025/09/18 02:25