Bitcoin (BTC) held below US$80,000 (AU$122,400) on Monday after a more than 6% slide the previous day, with data from ETFs, derivatives, and on-chain metrics pointing to a move driven by leverage and thinning liquidity.
On the weekly chart, BTC has lost the 21-week exponential moving average, a level whose breakdown preceded earlier bear markets.
BTC/USD. Source: TradingView.
Analyst Rekt Capital noted that BTC has already fallen about 17% from roughly US$90,000 (AU$137,700) to US$78,000 (AU$119,340) since the latest bull-market EMA crossover:
So far, history is repeating, with downside occurring after the Bull Market EMA crossover. Bitcoin has dropped -17% from $90,000 to $78,000 since the crossover took place. History suggests that additional downside continuation over time lays ahead.
Rekt Capital
To make matters worse, CryptoBullet pointed to Bitcoin’s drop below the 21-week exponential moving average, a breakdown that preceded earlier bear markets.
Looking at on-chain data, CryptoQuant data shows spot trading below the realised price for holders who last moved coins 12–18 months ago, meaning this cohort is now underwater.
Related: SEC Chair Walks Back Timeline on Sweeping Crypto Exemptions After Wall Street Pushback
Unsurprisingly, US-listed spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs saw steady outflows, as investors withdrew about US$1.82 billion (AU$2.78 billion) from spot crypto ETFs over five trading days, including roughly US$1.49 billion (AU$2.28 billion) from Bitcoin products and US$327 million (AU$500 million) from Ether funds.
The redemptions reversed a brief spike in demand in mid-January, when Bitcoin rose around 7% in two days and spot Bitcoin ETFs booked their largest single-day inflow of 2026 at US$840.6 million (AU$1.29 billion), alongside a jump in the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.
Analysts are pointed to three rapid liquidation waves totaling about US$1.3 billion (AU$1.99 billion) within 12 hours, but broader data from CoinGlass showed total liquidations briefly topping US$2.5 billion (AU$3.83 billion), making the move the 10th-largest daily wipeout on record and still well below the October 10 crash, when more than US$19 billion (AU$29.1 billion) was erased in 24 hours.
With BTC/USD trading under the “true market mean” at US$80,700 (AU$123,471), traders are watching lower zones. One widely followed liquidity map flags US$74,400 (AU$113,832) and US$49,180 (AU$75,245) as key downside targets for the current bear phase.
Read more: Why 75% of APAC Investors Still Avoid Crypto: New Data Upends Adoption Myths
The post Bitcoin Breaks Key Support as Bears Circle Below $80K appeared first on Crypto News Australia.



BitGo’s move creates further competition in a burgeoning European crypto market that is expected to generate $26 billion revenue this year, according to one estimate. BitGo, a digital asset infrastructure company with more than $100 billion in assets under custody, has received an extension of its license from Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin), enabling it to offer crypto services to European investors. The company said its local subsidiary, BitGo Europe, can now provide custody, staking, transfer, and trading services. Institutional clients will also have access to an over-the-counter (OTC) trading desk and multiple liquidity venues.The extension builds on BitGo’s previous Markets-in-Crypto-Assets (MiCA) license, also issued by BaFIN, and adds trading to the existing custody, transfer and staking services. BitGo acquired its initial MiCA license in May 2025, which allowed it to offer certain services to traditional institutions and crypto native companies in the European Union.Read more